Publications (selected)

Crupi V. and Tentori K.
Confirmation theory
In A. Hájek and C. Hitchcock (eds.), Oxford Handbook of Philosophy and Probability, Oxford University Press, 2016 (pp. 650-665)
(download)

 

Crupi V.
Razionalità, ragionamento e cognizione

In M. Dell’Utri and A. Rainone (eds.), I modi della razionalità, Mimesis, 2016 (pp. 81-98)

(download)

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.

Noisy probability judgment, the conjunction fallacy, and rationality: Comment on Costello and Watts (2014)

Psychological Review, 123 (2016): 97-102

(download)

 

Tentori K. Chater N., and Crupi V.

Judging the probability of hypotheses versus the impact of evidence

Which form of inductive inference is more accurate and time-consistent?

Cognitive Science, 40 (2016): 758-778.

(download)

 

Crupi V.

Inductive logic

Journal of Philosophical Logic, 44 (2016) (The Fortieth Anniversary Issue): 641-650

(download)

 

Elia F., Aprà F., Verhovez A., and Crupi V.

“First, know thyself”: Cognition and error in medicine

Acta diabetologica, 53 (2016): 169-175

(download)

 

Cevolani G. and Crupi V.
Subtleties of naïve reasoning: Probability, Confirmation, and Verisimilitude in the Linda paradox
In M. Bianca and P. Piccari (eds.), Epistemology of Ordinary Knowledge, Cambridge Scholars, 2015 (pp. 211-230)
(link)

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.
Measuring information and confirmation
Studies in the History and Philosophy of Science, 47 (2014): 81-90
(download)

 

Crupi V. and Girotto V.
From is to ought, and back: How normative concerns foster progress in reasoning research
Frontiers in Psychology, 5 (2014), 219: 1-3
(download)

 

Interview with Vincenzo Crupi

The Reasoner, 7 (10), (2013): 115-117

(download)

 

Crupi V., Confirmation

In E.N. Zalta (ed.), The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy
(link)

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.
Confirmation as partial entailment: A representation theorem in inductive logic
Journal of Applied Logic
, 11 (2013): 364-372

[Erratum in Journal of Applied Logic, 12 (2014): 230-231]
(download)

 

Tentori K. and Crupi V.
Why quantum probability does not explain the conjunction fallacy
Behavioral and Brain Sciences
, 36 (2013): 308-310
(download)

 

Tentori K., Crupi V., and Russo S.
On the determinants of the conjunction fallacy: Probability vs. inductive confirmation
Journal of Experimental Psychology
: General, 142 (2013): 235-255
(download)

 

Crupi V., Chater N., and Tentori K.
New axioms for probability and likelihood ratio measures

British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
, 64 (2013): 189-204
(download)

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.
Il ragionamento induttivo
In V. Girotto (ed.), Introduzione alla psicologia del ragionamento, Il Mulino, Bologna, 2013 (pp. 13-40)
(download)

 

Zhao J., Crupi V., Tentori K., Fitelson B., and Osherson D.
Updating: Learning
vs. supposing
Cognition
, 124 (2012): 373-378
(download)

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.
A second look at the logic of explanatory power (with two novel representation theorems)

Philosophy of Science
, 79 (2012): 365-385
(download)

 

Crupi V.
A argument for not equating confirmation and explanatory power

The Reasoner
, 6 (3) (2012): 39-40. [Erratum in The Reasoner, 6 (4) (2012): 68.]
(download)

 

Cevolani G., Crupi V., and Festa R.
A verisimilitudinarian approach to the Linda paradox
In C. Martínez Vidal, J.L. Falguera, J.M. Sagüillo, V.M. Verdejo, and M. Pereira-Fariña (eds.), Proceedings of the Seventh Conference of the Society for Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science in Spain, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, 2012 (pp. 366-372)
(download)

 

Dumas F., Gonzalez M., Girotto V., Pascal C., Botton J.-F., and Crupi V.
The context of available options affects healthcare decisions: A generalization study

Medical Decision Making
, 32 (2012): 815-819
(download)

 

Dumas F., Gonzalez M., Pascal C., Girotto V., Crupi V., and Botton J.-F.
Healthcare decisions are context-dependent: Violations of the regularity principle
[Abstract]
International Journal of Psychology
, 47 (Suppl. 1) (2012): 129
(download)

 

Tentori K. and Crupi V.
On the conjunction fallacy and the meaning of and, yet again: A reply to Herwig, Benz, and Krauss (2008)
Cognition
, 122 (2012): 123-134
(download)

 

Tentori K. and Crupi V.
How the conjunction fallacy is tied to probabilistic confirmation: Some remarks on Schupbach (2009)
Synthese
, 184 (2012): 3-12
(download)

 

Cevolani G., Crupi V., and Festa R.
Verisimilitude and belief change for conjunctive theories
Erkenntnis
, 75 (2011): 183-202
(download)

 

Gli errori cognitivi in medicina (Interview)

Medical Humanities, 5 (17), (2011): 101-105

(download)

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.
Irrelevant conjunction: Statement and solution of a new paradox
Philosophy of Science
, 77 (2010): 1-13
(download)

 

Crupi V., Festa R., and Buttasi C.
Towards a grammar of Bayesian confirmation
In M. Suárez, M. Dorato, and M. Rèdei (eds.), Epistemology and Methodology of Science, Springer, Berlin, 2010 (pp. 73-93).
(download)

 

Crupi V. and Hartmann S.
Formal and empirical methods in philosophy of science
In F. Stadler (ed.), The Present Situation in the Philosophy of Science, Springer, Berlin, 2010 (pp. 87-98)
(download)

 

Tentori K., Crupi V., and Osherson D.
Second-order probability affects hypothesis confirmation
Psychonomic Bulletin & Review
, 17 (2010): 129-134
(download)

 

Mastropasqua T., Crupi V., and Tentori K.
Broadening the study of inductive reasoning: Confirmation judgments with uncertain evidence

Memory & Cognition
, 38 (2010): 941-950
(download)

 

Cevolani G., Crupi V., and Festa R.
The whole truth about Linda: Probability, verisimilitude, and a paradox of conjunction
In M. D’Agostino, G. Giorello, F. Laudisa, T. Pievani, and C. Sinigaglia (eds.), New Trends in Logic and Philosophy of Science, College, London, 2010 (pp. 603-615)
(download)

 

Cozzi D., Schiavetti A., Ceccanti S., Frediani S., Mele E., Crupi V., and Cozzi F.
Decision analysis to compare treatment options for stage I intermediate-risk Wilms’ tumor [Abstract]
Pediadric Blood & Cancer
, 55 (2010): 792
(download)

 

Festa R., Crupi V., and Giaretta P.
Forme di ragionamento e valutazione delle ipotesi nelle scienze mediche
In A. Pagnini (ed.), Filosofia della medicina, Carocci, Roma, 2010 (pp. 117-140)
(download)

 

Crupi V. and Festa R.
La decisione nella medicina clinica
In A. Pagnini (ed.), Filosofia della medicina, Carocci, Roma, 2010 (pp. 289-311)
(download)

 

Crupi V., Tentori K., and Lombardi L.
Pseudodiagnosticity revisited
Psychological Review
, 116 (2009): 971-985
(download)

 

Tentori K. and Crupi V.
Explaining the conjunction fallacy: Probability
vs. confirmation [Abstract]
In N. Taatgen and H. van Rijn (eds.), Proceedings of the 31st Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, 2009 (p. 254)

 

Festa R., Buttasi C., and Crupi V.
Evidenza incerta e probabilità delle diagnosi: estensioni dell’approccio bayesiano alla pratica clinica
In P. Giaretta, A. Moretto, G.F. Gensini, and M. Trabucchi (eds.), Filosofia della medicina, Il Mulino, Bologna, 2009 (pp. 565-609)
(download)

 

Festa R., Crupi V., and Giaretta P.
Deduzione, induzione e abduzione nelle scienze mediche
Logic and Philosophy of Science
, 7 (2009): 41-68
(download)

 

Crupi V. and Festa R.
Dai giochi d’azzardo ai test diagnostici: la teoria della decisione nella medicina clinica
Logic and Philosophy of Science
, 7 (2009): 69-94
(download)

 

Crupi V.
Recensione di G. Vattimo,
Addio alla verità
Iride
, 22 (2009): 492-494
(download)

 

Crupi V., Fitelson B., and Tentori K.
Probability, confirmation, and the conjunction fallacy
Thinking and Reasoning
, 14 (2008): 182-199
(download)

 

Crupi V., Festa R., and Mastropasqua T.
Bayesian confirmation by uncertain evidence: A reply to Huber (2005)
British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
, 59 (2008): 201-211
(download)

 

Crupi V.
Errore, decisione e razionalità in medicina
L’Arco di Giano
, 55 (2008): 29-41
(link)

 

Crupi V.
Dal linguaggio al dialogo: due ipotesi sull’interpretazione
Trópos
(numero speciale) (2008): 39-54
(download)

 

Crupi V., Tentori K., and Gonzalez M.
On Bayesian measures of evidential support: Theoretical and empirical issues
Philosophy of Science
, 74 (2007): 229-252
(download)

 

Tentori K., Crupi V., Bonini N., and Osherson D.
Comparison of confirmation measures
Cognition
, 103 (2007): 107-119
(download)

 

Tentori K., Crupi V., and Osherson D.
Determinants of confirmation
Psychonomic Bulletin & Review
, 14 (2007): 877-883
(download)

 

Crupi V.
The sink and the murder scene: Rise and fall of a causal model in AIDS pathogenesis
Logic and Philosophy of Science
, 5 (2007): 9-32
(download)

 

Crupi V.
I processi decisionali in contesti di emergenza e urgenza
In G. Trabucco and F. Buonocore (eds.), Pronto soccorso. Triage, Libreria Cortina, Verona,  2007 (pp. 89-101)
(download)

 

Crupi V., Gensini G.F., and Motterlini M. (eds.)
La dimensione cognitiva dell’errore in medicina
Franco Angeli, Milano, 2006
(download)

 

Motterlini M. and Crupi V.
Decisioni mediche. Un punto di vista cognitivo
Raffaello Cortina, Milano, 2005
(link)

 

Crupi V.
Aspetti cognitivi della razionalità medica: dall’evidenza alla decisione
Nuova civiltà delle macchine
, 23 (4) (2005): 59-68
(download)