Publications

 

Crupi V., Elia F., Aprà F., and Tentori K.

Double conjunction fallacies in physicians’ probability judgment

Medical Decision Making, 2018 (DOI: 10.1177/0272989X18786358)

 

Colombo M., Lai J., and Crupi V.

Sleeping Beauty goes to the lab: The psychology of self-locating evidence

Review of Philosophy and Psychology, 2018 (DOI: 10.1007/s13164-018-0381-8)

 

Crupi V.,  Nelson J.D., Meder B., Cevolani G., and Tentori K.

Generalized information theory meets human cognition: Introducing a unified framework to model uncertainty and information search

Cognitive Science, 42 (2018): 1410-1456

 

Crupi V., Calzavarini F., Elia F., and Aprà F.

Understanding and improving decisions in clinical medicine (IV): Prospects and challenges of nudging in healthcare

Internal and Emergency Medicine, 13 (2018): 791-793

 

Crupi V., Elia F., and Aprà F.

Understanding and improving decisions in clinical medicine (III): Towards cognitively informed clinical thinking

Internal and Emergency Medicine, 13 (2018): 449-451

 

Elia F., Aprà F., and Crupi V.

Understanding and improving decisions in clinical medicine (II): Making sense of reasoning in practice

Internal and Emergency Medicine, 13 (2018): 287-289

 

Elia F., Covella M., Perna M., Aprà F., and Crupi V.

The clinical eye

Internal and Emergency Medicine, 13 (2018): 213-217

 

Crupi V. and Elia F.

Understanding and improving decisions in clinical medicine (I): Reasoning, heuristics, and error

Internal and Emergency Medicine, 12 (2017): 689-691

 

Nelson J.D., Crupi V., Meder B., Cevolani G., and Tentori K.

A unified model of entropy and the value of information [Abstract]

In G. Gunzelmann, A. Howes, T. Tenbrink, and E.J. Davelaar (eds.), Proceedings of the 39th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, Cognitive Science Society, Austin (TX), 2017 (pp. 1459-1460)

 

Crupi V.

Generalized confirmation and relevance measures

In M. Massimi, J.-W. Romeijn, and G. Schurz (eds.), EPSA15 Selected Papers, Springer, 2017 (pp. 285-296)

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.

Confirmation theory

In A. Hájek and C. Hitchcock (eds.), Oxford Handbook of Philosophy and Probability, Oxford University Press, 2016 (pp. 650-665)

 

Crupi V.

Razionalità, ragionamento e cognizione

In M. Dell’Utri and A. Rainone (eds.), I modi della razionalità, Mimesis, 2016 (pp. 81-98)

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.

Noisy probability judgment, the conjunction fallacy, and rationality: Comment on Costello and Watts (2014)

Psychological Review, 123 (2016): 97-10

 

Tentori K. Chater N., and Crupi V.

Judging the probability of hypotheses versus the impact of evidence: Which form of inductive inference is more accurate and time-consistent?

Cognitive Science, 40 (2016): 758-77

 

Crupi V.

Inductive logic

Journal of Philosophical Logic, 44 (2016) (The Fortieth Anniversary Issue): 641-650

 

Elia F., Aprà F., Verhovez A., and Crupi V.

“First, know thyself”: Cognition and error in medicine

Acta diabetologica, 53 (2016): 169-175

 

Cevolani G. and Crupi V.

Subtleties of naïve reasoning: Probability, Confirmation, and Verisimilitude in the Linda paradox

In M. Bianca and P. Piccari (eds.), Epistemology of Ordinary Knowledge, Cambridge Scholars, 2015 (pp. 211-230)

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.

Measuring information and confirmation

Studies in the History and Philosophy of Science, 47 (2014): 81-90

 

Crupi V. and Girotto V.

From is to ought, and back: How normative concerns foster progress in reasoning research

Frontiers in Psychology, 5 (2014), 219: 1-3

 

Interview with Vincenzo Crupi

The Reasoner, 7 (10), (2013): 115-117

 

Crupi V.,

Confirmation

In E.N. Zalta (ed.), The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (first published Summer 2013)

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.

Confirmation as partial entailment: A representation theorem in inductive logic

Journal of Applied Logic, 11 (2013): 364-372

[Erratum in Journal of Applied Logic, 12 (2014): 230-231]

 

Tentori K. and Crupi V.

Why quantum probability does not explain the conjunction fallacy

Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 36 (2013): 308-310

 

Tentori K., Crupi V., and Russo S.

On the determinants of the conjunction fallacy: Probability vs. inductive confirmation

Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 142 (2013): 235-255

 

Crupi V., Chater N., and Tentori K.

New axioms for probability and likelihood ratio measures

British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 64 (2013): 189-204

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.

Il ragionamento induttivo

In V. Girotto (ed.), Introduzione alla psicologia del ragionamento, Il Mulino, Bologna, 2013 (pp. 13-40)

 

Zhao J., Crupi V., Tentori K., Fitelson B., and Osherson D.

Updating: Learning vs. supposing

Cognition, 124 (2012): 373-378

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.

A second look at the logic of explanatory power (with two novel representation theorems)

Philosophy of Science, 79 (2012): 365-385

 

Crupi V.

An argument for not equating confirmation and explanatory power

The Reasoner, 6 (3) (2012): 39-40 [Erratum in The Reasoner, 6 (4) (2012): 68]

 

Cevolani G., Crupi V., and Festa R.

A verisimilitudinarian analysis of the Linda paradox

In C. Martínez Vidal, J.L. Falguera, J.M. Sagüillo, V.M. Verdejo, and M. Pereira-Fariña (eds.), Proceedings of the Seventh Conference of the Society for Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science in Spain, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, 2012 (pp. 366-372)

 

Dumas F., Gonzalez M., Girotto V., Pascal C., Botton J.-F., and Crupi V.

The context of available options affects healthcare decisions: A generalization study

Medical Decision Making, 32 (2012): 815-819

 

Tentori K. and Crupi V.

On the conjunction fallacy and the meaning of and, yet again: A reply to Herwig, Benz, and Krauss (2008)

Cognition, 122 (2012): 123-134

 

Tentori K. and Crupi V.

How the conjunction fallacy is tied to probabilistic confirmation: Some remarks on Schupbach (2009)

Synthese, 184 (2012): 3-12

 

Cevolani G., Crupi V., and Festa R.

Verisimilitude and belief change for conjunctive theories

Erkenntnis, 75 (2011): 183-202

 

Gli errori cognitivi in medicina (Interview)

Medical Humanities, 5 (17), (2011): 101-105

 

Crupi V. and Tentori K.

Irrelevant conjunction: Statement and solution of a new paradox

Philosophy of Science, 77 (2010): 1-13

 

Crupi V., Festa R., and Buttasi C.

Towards a grammar of Bayesian confirmation

In M. Suárez, M. Dorato, and M. Rèdei (eds.), Epistemology and Methodology of Science, Springer, Berlin, 2010 (pp. 73-93)

 

Crupi V. and Hartmann S.

Formal and empirical methods in philosophy of science

In F. Stadler (ed.), The Present Situation in the Philosophy of Science, Springer, Berlin, 2010 (pp. 87-98)

 

Tentori K., Crupi V., and Osherson D.

Second-order probability affects hypothesis confirmation

Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 17 (2010): 129-134

 

Mastropasqua T., Crupi V., and Tentori K.

Broadening the study of inductive reasoning: Confirmation judgments with uncertain evidence

Memory & Cognition, 38 (2010): 941-950

 

Cevolani G., Crupi V., and Festa R.

The whole truth about Linda: Probability, verisimilitude, and a paradox of conjunction

In M. D’Agostino, G. Giorello, F. Laudisa, T. Pievani, and C. Sinigaglia (eds.), New Trends in Logic and Philosophy of Science, College, London, 2010 (pp. 603-615)

 

Festa R., Crupi V., and Giaretta P.

Forme di ragionamento e valutazione delle ipotesi nelle scienze mediche

In A. Pagnini (ed.), Filosofia della medicina, Carocci, Roma, 2010 (pp. 117-140)

 

Crupi V. and Festa R.

La decisione nella medicina clinica

In A. Pagnini (ed.), Filosofia della medicina, Carocci, Roma, 2010 (pp. 289-311)

 

Crupi V., Tentori K., and Lombardi L.

Pseudodiagnosticity revisited

Psychological Review, 116 (2009): 971-985

 

Festa R., Buttasi C., and Crupi V.

Evidenza incerta e probabilità delle diagnosi: estensioni dell’approccio bayesiano alla pratica clinica

In P. Giaretta, A. Moretto, G.F. Gensini, and M. Trabucchi (eds.), Filosofia della medicina, Il Mulino, Bologna, 2009 (pp. 565-609)

 

Festa R., Crupi V., and Giaretta P.

Deduzione, induzione e abduzione nelle scienze mediche

Logic and Philosophy of Science, 7 (2009): 41-68

 

Crupi V. and Festa R.

Dai giochi d’azzardo ai test diagnostici: la teoria della decisione nella medicina clinica

Logic and Philosophy of Science, 7 (2009): 69-94

 

Crupi V.

Recensione di G. Vattimo, Addio alla verità

Iride, 22 (2009): 492-494

 

Crupi V., Fitelson B., and Tentori K.

Probability, confirmation, and the conjunction fallacy

Thinking and Reasoning, 14 (2008): 182-199

 

Crupi V., Festa R., and Mastropasqua T.

Bayesian confirmation by uncertain evidence: A reply to Huber (2005)

British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 59 (2008): 201-211

 

Crupi V.

Errore, decisione e razionalità in medicina

L’Arco di Giano, 55 (2008): 29-41

 

Crupi V.

Dal linguaggio al dialogo: due ipotesi sull’interpretazione

Trópos (numero speciale) (2008): 39-54

 

Crupi V., Tentori K., and Gonzalez M.

On Bayesian measures of evidential support: Theoretical and empirical issues

Philosophy of Science, 74 (2007): 229-252

 

Tentori K., Crupi V., Bonini N., and Osherson D.

Comparison of confirmation measures

Cognition, 103 (2007): 107-119

 

Tentori K., Crupi V., and Osherson D.

Determinants of confirmation

Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 14 (2007): 877-883

 

Crupi V.

The sink and the murder scene: Rise and fall of a causal model in AIDS pathogenesis

Logic and Philosophy of Science, 5 (2007): 9-32

 

Crupi V.

I processi decisionali in contesti di emergenza e urgenza

In G. Trabucco and F. Buonocore (eds.), Pronto soccorso. Triage, Libreria Cortina, Verona,  2007 (pp. 89-101)

 

Crupi V., Gensini G.F., and Motterlini M. (eds.)

La dimensione cognitiva dell’errore in medicina

Franco Angeli, Milano, 2006

 

Motterlini M. and Crupi V.

Decisioni mediche. Un punto di vista cognitivo

Raffaello Cortina, Milano, 2005

 

Crupi V.

Aspetti cognitivi della razionalità medica: dall’evidenza alla decisione

Nuova civiltà delle macchine, 23 (4) (2005): 59-68